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Week 1 Superflex QB Rankings Grade

I won’t have time to do every position every week, so I am starting with a review of my week 1 rankings at the QB position, since that is the most important position in Superflex. Scoring is 4 pt passing TDs, 6 pts receiving/rushing, 25 passing yards per point, 10 rushing/receiving yards per point, PPR.

QB Rankings Week 1 Review

So for my reviews of my rankings I’m going to try a scoring system. Since accuracy is the goal, each ranking that hit dead on gets 10 points. Each ranking that comes within 5 spots is 5 points, and each ranking that comes within 6-10 spots is 1 point. Each ranking that comes in between 11-15 spots off is -3, and each one 15-20 spots off is -5 points, and anything 21 and over is -10. We’ll see how this plays out, the goal is to come out with a positive rank. Distance does not include players ranked spot (EG Brady was ranked #2 and came in #5, That’s #3, #4, #5 – 3 spots

Rank	Name	Opponent	Finish	Points
1	Aaron Rodgers	Saints	33	-10
2	Tom Brady	Cowboys	5	5
3	Josh Allen	Steelers	21	-5
4	Patrick Mahomes	Browns	2	5
5	Lamar Jackson	Raiders	20	-5
6	Kyler Murray	Titans	1	5
7	Russel Wilson	Colts	8	5
8	Jameis Winston	Packers	4	5
9	Dak Prescott	Buccaneers	7	5
10	Matt Ryan	Eagles	30	-5
11	Jalen Hurts	Falcons	6	5
12	Justin Herbert	WFT	26	-3
13	Ryan Tannehill	Cardinals	24	-3
14	Joe Burrow	Vikings	18	5
15	Kirk Cousins	Bengals	13	5
16	Ryan Fitzpatrick	Chargers	37	-10
17	Tua Tagovailoa	Patriots	22	5
18	Trevor Lawrence	Texans	12	1
19	Matt Stafford	Bears	10	1
20	Ben Roethlisberger	Bills	28	1
21	Mac Jones	Dolphins	23	5
22	Sam Darnold	Jets	17	5
23	Carson Wentz	Seahawks	19	5
24	Baker Mayfield	Chiefs	27	5
25	Zach Wilson	Panthers	16	1
26	Derek Carr	Raiders	9	-10
27	Jimmy Garroppolo	Lions	25	5
28	Jared Goff	49ers	3	-10
29	Teddy Bridgewater	Giants	15	-3
30	Daniel Jones	Broncos	14	-5
31	Tyrod Taylor	Jaguars	11	-5
32	Andy Dalton	Rams	32	10

So according to this points system I came out with 15 points. nailing Andy Dalton’s suckitude saved me, but similarly Ryan Fitzpatrick’s injury and Rodgers complete debasement of himself threw me off just as bad.

@2qbfantasy on twitter to tell me what you think of my ranking system and my first attempt at weekly picks. Would love to hear your feedback.

Superflex TE Rankings Week 1

Superflex QB Rankings | Superflex RB Rankings | Superflex WR Rankings

The NFL season is upon us, and it’s time to get to ranking the position I neglect the most, tight ends. Why do I neglect this position? Essentially because it’s top heavy, which causes the top 3 (possibly 4) players who actually make a difference to have unreasonably high ADPs, and the rest just seem to bunch together.

Anyway, here are my superflex TE rankings for week 1.

Tight Ends

Rank	Name	Opponent
1	Travis Kelce	Browns
2	Darren Waller	Ravens
3	George Kittle	Lions
4	Kyle Pitts	Eagles
5	TJ Hockenson	49ers
6	Tyler Higbee	Bears
7	Mark Andrews	Raiders
8	Mike Gesicki	Patriots
9	Logan Thomas	Chargers
10	Jonnu Smith	Dolphins
11	Robert Tonyan	Saints
12	Noah Fant	Giants
13	Cole Kmet	Rams
14	Blake Jarwin	Buccaneers
15	Rob Gronkowski	Cowboys
16	Hunter Henry	Dolphins
17	Chris Herndon	Bengals
18	Adam Trautman	Packers
19	Dallas Goedert	Falcons
20	Zach Ertz	Falcons
21	Jared Cook	WFT
22	Austin Hooper	Chiefs
23	Pat Freiermuth	Bills
24	Dawson Knox	Steelers

I don’t know that there is much to say about the top three here. It would take some sort of cataclysmic event to not rank Travis Kelce number 1 against anyone, and Darren Waller and George Kittle will follow him immediately against almost any opponents. I could see Kittle leaned on more in the run game as I think San Francisco will stick to the ground in an easy win.

It gets more interesting at the 4-12 spots. I do think Kyle Pitts is going to beat expectations all year. Everyone said he was being drafted at his ceiling while going in rounds 4-5, while not blinking at Kelce and Waller going in the first and Kittle in the 2nd and 3rd. Pitts can be as good as Waller and Kittle this year, and I think it starts in a big way this Sunday. I like TJ Hockenson’s role as the only game in town against the 49ers and possibly all year. I expect the Niners pass rush to be back up to snuff and thus the safety valve being all important for Goff. I like Tyler Higbee for the same reason against the Bears. Their front four will get to Stafford plenty. Mark Andrews is the only real trusted receiver that Lamar Jackson has, and I think a big game against the Raiders is not out of the question, but I’m seeing something more along the lines of 65 yards and a touch.

Gesicki, Logan Thomas, Jonnu Smith, and Robert Tonyan should all be reliable back-end starters in a 12-team league. Not thrilling but probably safe 60+ yardage floors and a decent shot at a touchdown.

Noah Fant has been dealing with an injury but if healthy he should be a good option against a bad Giants defense. I think Cole Kmet is a good play this week as Dalton’s safety valve against the Rams pass rush, but without any real past production he’s risky. The only other guy I wold feel comfortable starting in a 12-team league in the bottom 24 is Adam Trautman. He’s healthy for week 1 and if Jaire Alexander effectively takes away Marquez Callaway from Winston, I expect Trautman to see at least 8 targets, possibly as high as 12.

Superflex WR Rankings Week 1

Superflex QB Rankings | Superflex RB Rankings | Superflex TE Rankings

Wide receiver rankings are always the hardest given the volatility of the position and the sheer number of fantasy contributors. Here are my Superflex wide receiver rankings for NFL week 1.

Wide Receivers

Rank	Name	Opponent
1	Davante Adams	Saints
2	Justin Jefferson	Bengals
3	Tyreek Hill	Browns
4	Calvin Ridley	Eagles
5	DeAndre Hopkins	Titans
6	Stefon Diggs	Steelers
7	DK Metcalf	Colts
8	AJ Brown	Cardinals
9	CeeDee Lamb	Buccaneers
10	Mike Evans	Cowboys
11	Terry McLaurin	Chargers
12	Robert Woods	Bears
13	Tee Higgins	Vikings
14	Tyler Locket	Colts
15	Chris Godwin	Cowboys
16	Adam Thielen	Bengals
17	Dionte Johnson	Bills
18	Keenan Allen	WFT
19	Jerry Jeudy	Giants
20	Julio Jones	Cardinals
21	Antonio Brown	Cowboys
22	Brandon Aiyuk	Lions
23	DJ Moore	Jets
24	Corey Davis	Panthers
25	Cooper Kupp	Bears
26	Allen Robinson	Rams
27	Amari Cooper	Buccaneers
28	Chase Claypool	Bills
29	Odell Beckham Jr.	Chiefs
30	Marquez Callaway	Packers
31	Devonta Smith	Falcons
32	Laviska Shenault Jr.	Texans
33	Brandin Cooks	Jaguars
34	Tyler Boyd	Vikings
35	Jakobi Meyers	Dolphins
36	Jaylen Waddle	Patriots
37	Mike Williams	WFT
38	Robby Anderson	Jets
39	Sammy Watkins	Raiders
40	Henry Ruggs III	Ravens
41	Micheal Pittman	Seahawks
42	JuJu Smith-Schuster	Bills
43	Jarvis Landry	Chiefs
44	DJ Chark	Texans
45	Elijah Moore	Panthers

I didn’t bother looking up who the Saints have at corner because there isn’t one in the league that can cover Davante Adams. Justin Jefferson gets a magnificent matchup against the Bengals D (start all players vs Bengals until further notice), and should go off. Tyreek Hill gets Denzel Ward in coverage which is the only reason he isn’t number 2. Philly is middle of the road which should allow Ridley to tee off, and Hopkins gets a plus matchup vs the Titans. Diggs is just too good to be any lower.

The only reason I have A.J. Brown 1 spot below D.K. Metcalf is because he is riding the bike Wednesday at practice, which is a little worrisome after an offseason of missing practices and recovery. If you can name a cornerback on the Cardinals roster I’m impressed – cue a big game for Metcalf and Tyler Locket. While I expect the Bucs defense to give the Cowboys fits, I also expect Dallas to have to pass a ton to keep up, thus CeeDee Lamb checks in at WR9 for the week. I like all the Bucs receivers this week against the most likely still-putrid Cowboys defense, but I like Mike Evans the best among the three at WR10. Chris Godwin checks in at WR15 and Antonio “Whole Lotta Money” Brown at WR21.

Terry McLaurin, Robert Woods, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Lockett are all good plays this week. The Chargers are not impressive against the pass, and neither are the Bears or the Colts. Higgins should benefit from the offense playing catchup after the Bengals D gets rolled on by Cook, Jefferson, and of course Adam Thielen. I’m thinking Washington’s pressure means more targets for Ekeler than Keenan Allen, but Allen’s crisp route running should mean he gets open for lots of underneath routes. Safety valve #2.

I don’t like Aiyuk for a huge day just because I think the 49ers won’t need to pass too much to win the game, and I don’t think Allen Robinson will be able to do much with Andy Dalton running for his life. Expect a lot of timing throws on short routes, unless Nagy is actually trying to get Dalton injured so he can scrap his Alex Smith-Mahomes plan. Cooper should probably be higher, but I’m worried about rust for him and Dak after they both missed a lot of camp and the preseason.

I like Odell Beckham to outperform ADP against the Chiefs as the Browns will have to throw some when the Chiefs offense inevitably pulls ahead. I’m worried about Marquez Callaway given that he will likely be shadowed by Green Bay’s #1-rated corner Jaire Alexander. But the Saints will need him to stay in the game. I like Devonta Smith against Atlanta, but need to see improvement from his QB before ranking him much higher. I think he will be better in real life than fantasy this week, and possibly going forward.

One guy I would not be surprised to see massively outperform expectations is Jaylen Waddle as Gilmore is on PUP, but for a rookie with a completely unproven QB, I’m keeping him where he is for this week. I do think Xavien Howard can keep Jakobi Meyers under wrap, but I don’t know if he’s going to be his full-time assignment. I like Robby Anderson, Henry Ruggs III, and Elijah Moore as flex dart throws to do big things, or next to nothing.

Superflex RB Rankings Week 1

Superflex QB rankings | Superflex WR Rankings | Superflex TE Rankings

All the hard work is either about to pay off or blow up in our faces. Draft position officially stops mattering in 24 hours, so we are taking a hard look at matchups and potential usage for week 1. Here are my superflex RB rankings.

UPDATED: Removed Gus Edwards following injury Thursday.

Running Backs

Rank	Name	Opponent
1	Dalvin Cook	Bengals
2	Derrick Henry	Cardinals
3	Christian McCaffrey	Jets
4	Nick Chubb	Chiefs
5	Austin Ekeler	Washington
6	Alvin Kamara	Packers
7	James Robinson	Texans
8	Ezekial Elliot	Buccaneers
9	Najee Harris	Bills
10	Antonio Gibson	Chargers
11	Jonathan Taylor	Seahawks
12	Joe Mixon	Vikings
13	Aaron Jones	Buccaneers
14	Clyde Edwards Helaire	Browns
15	Darrell Henderson	Bears
16	Myles Gaskin	Patriots
17	Raheem Mostert	Lions
18	Mike Davis	Eagles
19	Chris Carson	Colts
20	Josh Jacobs	Ravens
21	Kareem Hunt	Chiefs
22	Damien Harris	Dolphins
23	Chase Edmonds	Titans
24	Ty’Son Williams	Raiders
25	Trey Sermon	Lions
26	Ronald Jones II	Cowboys
27	Miles Sanders	Falcons
28	Zack Moss	Steelers
29	DeAndre Swift	49ers
30	Melvin Gordon	Giants
31	Saquon Barkley	Broncos
32	David Montgomery	Rams
33	Ty Johnson	Panthers
34	Phillip Lindsay	Jaguars
35	Devin Singletary	Steelers
36	James White	Dolphins
37	Giovanni Bernard	Cowboys
38	Tony Jones Jr.	Packers
39	Kenyan Drake	Ravens
40	Boston Scott	Falcons
41	Mark Ingram	Jaguars
42	Nyhiem Hines	Seahawks
43	Devontae Booker	Broncos
44	Javonte Williams	Giants
45	Jamaal Williams	49ers

Dalvin Cook going against the Bengals defense is just unfair to anyone who has to play against him week 1. He is going to absolutely feast on the Bengals 29th ranked 2020 run defense. Derrick Henry has a similarly juicy matchup against an Arizona squad that probably isn’t as good as it was last year when it finished 21st against the run. Christian McCaffrey gets dinged just a bit as the Jets have been clogging the middle for years, and I doubt having Robert Saleh as head coach has made them worse in that department. I’m really feeling Nick Chubb this week against the Chiefs as they finished 19th against the run last year and I see him being the key to keeping Mahomes off the field for Cleveland.

Surprisingly, WFT gave up a lot of yards on the ground last year, and I see Austin Ekeler as being a much needed safety valve for a rusty Herbert as he looks to escape the ferocious pass rush of Washington. I see a lot of dump offs and lots of receiving yards for Ekeler in this one. Right on his heels will be Alvin Kamara who should see plenty of usage regardless of whether the Packers jump out to a big lead or not. Hint, they will.

James Robinson has the Jacksonville backfield all to himself and will eat the Texans’ last placed run defense alive. I really don’t like Zeke this week, as Dak will have some rust and Tampa Bay was just brutal against the run last year. I could see a sub-4.0 ypc day with no touchdowns. But he is Zeke so I could also see a much higher range, so I can’t rank him lower than ninth.

10 is high for a rookie back with a suspect o-line, but I believe in Najee Harris and also believe Buffalo has not improved much as a run defense. Both Mixon and Gibson have favorable matchups, while Aaron Jones and Jonathan Taylor do not. I think CEH could start on his comeback campaign early, while I expect Darrell Henderson to see tons of run as the Rams absolutely humiliate the Bears and run out the clock for most of the second half.

I expect Gaskin and Mostert to take advantage of favorable matchups, and Chris Carson and Josh Jacobs to disappoint against much tougher opponents. I probably have Damien Harris too low given news that Stevenson will likely not play, meaning it’s all Harris and James White taking the pressure off rookie QB Mac Jones. If the Chiefs get off to a big lead, Kareem Hunt should benefit, and I have no problem having both Browns running backs ranked in the top 20. Ty’Son Williams is next man up for the Ravens, hopefully he makes it through the game.

Saquon Barkley news just has not been positive at all this week, and I don’t expect much usage at all. I think Montgomery and the entire Bears offense is going to suffer greatly from a declining o-line and subpar QB play.

I like Tony Jones Jr, James White, Gio Bernard, and Boston Scott to all outperform expectations this weekend.

Superflex QB Rankings Week 1

Superflex RB Rankings | Superflex WR Rankings | Superflex TE Rankings

We are just 24 hours away from actual, real football. Below are my rankings for week 1, assuming standard PPR scoring. 6 pt rushing/receiving TDs, 4 pt passing TDs, you know the rest. Here are my Superflex QB Rankings for Week 1.

Quarterbacks

Rank	Name	Opponent
1	Aaron Rodgers	Saints
2	Tom Brady	Cowboys
3	Josh Allen	Steelers
4	Patrick Mahomes	Browns
5	Lamar Jackson	Raiders
6	Kyler Murray	Titans
7	Russel Wilson	Colts
8	Jameis Winston	Packers
9	Dak Prescott	Buccaneers
10	Matt Ryan	Eagles
11	Jalen Hurts	Falcons
12	Justin Herbert	WFT
13	Ryan Tannehill	Cardinals
14	Joe Burrow	Vikings
15	Kirk Cousins	Bengals
16	Ryan Fitzpatrick	Chargers
17	Tua Tagovailoa	Patriots
18	Trevor Lawrence	Texans
19	Matt Stafford	Bears
20	Ben Roethlisberger	Bills
21	Mac Jones	Dolphins
22	Sam Darnold	Jets
23	Carson Wentz	Seahawks
24	Baker Mayfield	Chiefs
25	Zach Wilson	Panthers
26	Derek Carr	Raiders
27	Jimmy Garroppolo	Lions
28	Jared Goff	49ers
29	Teddy Bridgewater	Giants
30	Daniel Jones	Broncos
31	Tyrod Taylor	Jaguars
32	Andy Dalton	Rams

It was hard not to put Tom Brady number 1 against the Cowboys’ defense, but Aaron Rodgers is my bet to finish the week #1 against a similarly suspect Saints D he will be able to pick apart at will. Josh Allen gets the #3 spot over Patrick Mahomes only because Mahomes is facing a very good Browns D and a great rushing attack that should be able to dominate time of possession. Lamar Jackson is facing a middling pass rush from the Raiders that recently inquired if they could trade back for Khalil Mack. Kyler Murray is getting an increasingly solid Titans D and could stumble for a series or two. Russel Wilson is a player whose coaches could keep him out of the kitchen, and I don’t think the Colts offense will give them much reason to air it out.

I do think Jameis Winston is going to answer the call against the Packers and keep the game close. I’m hoping he sticks to playing Bruce Wayne instead of Batman as long as the gamescript allows. Dak is going to have some rust and is going against one of the best defenses in the league.

I like both Ryan and Hurts this week as two players who are facing bad defenses and should both get points. Herbert will struggle some against WFT’s pass rush, and not having played at all in the preseason could lead to a slow start. Tannehill could easily outperform him against Arizona’s suspect corners.

Cousins should have a field day against what appears to be a terrible Bengals defense, and I think Burrow will have some late-game heroics trying to catch up in the second half. I probably have Roethlisberger too low, and I’m penalizing Stafford for an opponent that will struggle to score, leading the Rams to lean on the rushing attack in the second half. I do think Mac Jones is ready. I’m just not inclined to bet against Belichik’s judgment after he made a tough move that he feels is right for the team.

Given that these are Superflex rankings, if you have better options at other skill positions and are being forced to start some of the truly lower tier guys like Taylor, Dalton, Goff, Jones, or Bridgewater, I would consider starting some good flex plays like Callaway, Henderson, or Terrace Marshall over them as I don’t expect good things from their outings. It’s worth rolling the dice with Wilson, Carr, Darnold and Mayfield to see what they can do.