Superflex QB Rankings Week 1

Superflex RB Rankings | Superflex WR Rankings | Superflex TE Rankings

We are just 24 hours away from actual, real football. Below are my rankings for week 1, assuming standard PPR scoring. 6 pt rushing/receiving TDs, 4 pt passing TDs, you know the rest. Here are my Superflex QB Rankings for Week 1.

Quarterbacks

RankNameOpponent
1Aaron RodgersSaints
2Tom BradyCowboys
3Josh AllenSteelers
4Patrick MahomesBrowns
5Lamar JacksonRaiders
6Kyler MurrayTitans
7Russel WilsonColts
8Jameis WinstonPackers
9Dak PrescottBuccaneers
10Matt RyanEagles
11Jalen HurtsFalcons
12Justin HerbertWFT
13Ryan TannehillCardinals
14Joe BurrowVikings
15Kirk CousinsBengals
16Ryan FitzpatrickChargers
17Tua TagovailoaPatriots
18Trevor LawrenceTexans
19Matt StaffordBears
20Ben RoethlisbergerBills
21Mac JonesDolphins
22Sam DarnoldJets
23Carson WentzSeahawks
24Baker MayfieldChiefs
25Zach WilsonPanthers
26Derek CarrRaiders
27Jimmy GarroppoloLions
28Jared Goff49ers
29Teddy BridgewaterGiants
30Daniel JonesBroncos
31Tyrod TaylorJaguars
32Andy DaltonRams

It was hard not to put Tom Brady number 1 against the Cowboys’ defense, but Aaron Rodgers is my bet to finish the week #1 against a similarly suspect Saints D he will be able to pick apart at will. Josh Allen gets the #3 spot over Patrick Mahomes only because Mahomes is facing a very good Browns D and a great rushing attack that should be able to dominate time of possession. Lamar Jackson is facing a middling pass rush from the Raiders that recently inquired if they could trade back for Khalil Mack. Kyler Murray is getting an increasingly solid Titans D and could stumble for a series or two. Russel Wilson is a player whose coaches could keep him out of the kitchen, and I don’t think the Colts offense will give them much reason to air it out.

I do think Jameis Winston is going to answer the call against the Packers and keep the game close. I’m hoping he sticks to playing Bruce Wayne instead of Batman as long as the gamescript allows. Dak is going to have some rust and is going against one of the best defenses in the league.

I like both Ryan and Hurts this week as two players who are facing bad defenses and should both get points. Herbert will struggle some against WFT’s pass rush, and not having played at all in the preseason could lead to a slow start. Tannehill could easily outperform him against Arizona’s suspect corners.

Cousins should have a field day against what appears to be a terrible Bengals defense, and I think Burrow will have some late-game heroics trying to catch up in the second half. I probably have Roethlisberger too low, and I’m penalizing Stafford for an opponent that will struggle to score, leading the Rams to lean on the rushing attack in the second half. I do think Mac Jones is ready. I’m just not inclined to bet against Belichik’s judgment after he made a tough move that he feels is right for the team.

Given that these are Superflex rankings, if you have better options at other skill positions and are being forced to start some of the truly lower tier guys like Taylor, Dalton, Goff, Jones, or Bridgewater, I would consider starting some good flex plays like Callaway, Henderson, or Terrace Marshall over them as I don’t expect good things from their outings. It’s worth rolling the dice with Wilson, Carr, Darnold and Mayfield to see what they can do.

QB Battles: The Final Countdown for Superflex Leagues

If you don’t know who these douchebags are that’s fine, it probably just means you’re under 40 or had exceedingly good taste in the eighties.

QB Battles are wrapping up left and right, time for a quick look back and where I was right and where I was wrong, and the implications for fantasy.

QB Battle #1: Cam Newton vs Mac Jones

One month ago I wrote that Mac Jones, barring showing himself to be a liability with accuracy or against the rush, would allow the Pats to get back to the kind of offense they want to run. I predicted that Belicihik and McDaniels would use Mac to get back to the old way of doing things sooner rather than later.

On August 4th I wrote that it appeared to be more Cam’s job to lose than Mac’s to win, and it was hard to see him not start the first half of the season, barring a meltdown by Cam. Cam’s awful first preseason game and his COVID debacle have definitely opened the door for Mac, but I have the feeling Cam will still get the start. However I don’t see him starting the first half of the season. He may not start the second half of the first game.

Reason being, as Tom Curran so eloquently put it, Mac Jones has made an incredibly solid case, most notably in joint practice with the Giants with Cam out. He has been not only the highest rated rookie passer in the preseason, he is one of the highest rated passers in the NFL this preseason.

This one is still, for some reason, undecided, but it’s not because we don’t know which QB makes the offense better and gives the team a better chance to win. And yes, you should be looking at him as a late-round QB3 in Superflex leagues. And unless you have a bye to cover in week 4, I wouldn’t worry about picking up Cam.

Fantasy Implications: Bump Meyers, Harris, White

QB Battle #2: Winston vs Hill

Winston slammed the door shut on any idea of Taysom starting with an eye-popping performance against the Jags first-team D. 9/10 passing, 128 yards, 2 TDs, and amazing pocket awareness on his second touchdown throw to recognize an unblocked defender, move to his right and time his throw to Callaway perfectly.

A month ago I wrote that barring any really negative camp reports or disasters in the preseason, he should win the starting job and was a steal at QB2 as the 28th QB off the board. I will admit after the first preseason game my confidence was shaken after neither QB really distinguished himself and he seemed hesitant in the pocket.

After Monday night’s game I dropped Matt Ryan for him in my Superflex money league (over $3k to first) and I’m happy with that decision still. I would not be surprised to see Jameis finish in the top-7 this year, even with Taysom coming in inside the five.

Fantasy Implications: Bump all Saints skill players, especially Callaway

QB Battle #3: Lock vs Bridgewater

A month ago I wrote that either player would be essentially a warm body at QB.

After the first preseason game I wrote that I thought Lock was the winner, but that I could see him playing his way out of the position and Teddy couldn’t overtake him on his own merits.

Though Lock did essentially sink his own ship in the second preseason game, I’ll say I was wrong here. Steady Teddy makes more sense for a team with a good defense and two good running backs, and Lock’s erratic play would torpedo the defense’s ability to keep them in games.

Fantasy Implications: Bump Jeudy, Fant, downgrade Sutton

QB Battle #4: Fields vs Dalton

“Rex is our quarterback.”

I’m still calling for a vague injury after Dalton gets destroyed behind what is now a suspect offensive line against the Rams week 1. Too bad because Fields could actually give the Bears a chance to win that game. If Nagy keeps Dalton in over Fields beyond that, expect calls for his head to get deafening in Chicago. If he keeps him in beyond week 4and the Bears are losing, Nagy and Pace should both be fired.

Fantasy Implications: Bump Rams Defense, Allen Robinson

QB Battle #5: Lance vs Garroppolo

At some point, probably against the Packers, 49ers fans will see this announcement and collectively lose their shit. However Lance has looked shaky at times during the preseason and might actually benefit from sitting for a game or three. But that’s it.

I originally predicted at the start of camps that we may not see Lance until November. I think he has greatly accelerated that timeline, but Jimmy will start the season and likely pile up a few wins. However, if Rodgers builds to a big lead in week 3, we may see a switch at halftime.

Fantasy Implications: Bump Deebo, Mostert; Downgrade Sherfield

Fake QB Battle: Trevor Lawrence vs Gaslighting

I’m not even going to write about Lawrence or his preseason. Instead I am going to write about what a clueless, inept jackass his coach is.

We have not even finished the preseason and he is already losing the locker room. And he tried really, really hard to do it. Urban Meyer has already proven that he is totally unfit for the NFL, and Shahid Khan is an idiot for bringing him out of retirement.

Meyer could have, at any point, looked at what had not worked for other college coaches making the transition to the pros, and learned from their mistakes. He could have realized that he is now dealing with professionals, not kids (Saban), and that gimmicky crap doesn’t work (Kelly).

Instead, he chose not to learn anything and immediately began repeating their mistakes, essentially gaslighting his number 1 pick and the media with a laughably false QB “competition” and bringing back Tim Tebow.

He has started off by insulting his number 1 pick and the entire NFL community in general, insulting every player on the camp roster by giving a spot to someone who hadn’t played a snap of pro football for years, and oh yeah, hiring a racist on staff.

I hate this for Lawrence, as he is saddled with a coach clearly out of his depth who refuses to learn, and an owner who clearly doesn’t give two shits about his team. He’s a good kid and a huge talent and if Meyer stays in Jacksonville past this season, his career and talent are going to be wasted.

I’m also sorry for anyone in Jacksonville who had hope for this team after wallowing in mediocrity for years. Because if Kahn cared or knew what he was doing, Eric Bienemy would currently be your head coach and you would be looking at a potentially great run with Lawrence under center. Instead you got a clown, hired by a clown, and a really shitty circus.

Fantasy Implications: Trade all Jags, this is going to be a shit-show

Training Camp Battle Update August 4

Before training camps we began, we looked at camp battles that would have significant impact on superflex and 2QB leagues. Time to revisit those and add a few other notes that could impact your 2QB and superflex drafts this month.

Patriots QB Battle: Cam vs Lil Mac

Credit: Boston Globe

Those hoping for Cam to go quietly into that good night (guilty) are going to be disappointed. This battle has been fairly even with Cam and Mac trading good and bad days. Belichik has called Newton “consistent” and originally declared Newton the week 1 starter. Reports show that Cam is improving day by day and Mac is having his rookie ups and downs.

Barring a meltdown by Cam in camp or preseason, it’s really hard to see him not starting the first half of the season. It’s Cam’s job to lose at this point, not Mac’s to win.

Saints QB Battle: Slight Edge to Winston

Credit: Bleacher Report

All the reports I have read have said that Winston appears very much improved from his years at Tampa. Both QBs have had wow throws in practice, but Winston has garnered more positive buzz.

My money is still on Winston to start week 1, and Taysom to continue his gadget role.

Bears QB Battle: Fields Is the Obvious Choice

Credit: Bears Wire

Whenever I think about this “battle” I hear Jimmy Volmer’s (from South Park) voice in my head: “I mean, come on.” Fields is absolutely lighting up camp and forcing Nagy’s hand as I thought he would be. Honestly I think he is the frontrunner for ROY already.

The week 1 game against the Rams may have Nagy cynically thinking that Dalton is the better sacrificial lamb to the Rams front 4, but I bet he’s also thinking that maybe, just maybe, putting Fields under center might just give them a chance to win that game.

The call from Bears Nation to start Fields will be deafening after preseason.

49ers QB Battle: Lance is Ready

Credit: ESPN

Another situation that is becoming more obvious to beat writers and attendees at the 49ers camp is that Lance looks far more ready than most anticipated.

Lance has avoided some of the “down days” that have plagued other rookie QBs not named Justin Fields, but for now we should still expect Jimmy Garropolo to start the season. With every well-timed throw and good decision made in camp and preseason by Lance, Jimmy’s leash gets a foot or two shorter.

Dolphins QB: Tua Trending Up

As I wrote a couple weeks ago, what I am looking for about Tua are superlatives from teammates and coaches. We need to hear things that are not just good, but great.

I don’t know if we are there yet, but things are trending in the right direction for the second-year prospect out of Alabama. ESPN’s Jeremy Fowler noted that he is hitting his deep throws, and teammate Myles Gaskin said that he has earned his leadership role. The headlines are good, but always read past the headlines.

Ravens Running Back Battle: Dobbins All Alone

Gus Edwards tested positive and has missed all of training camp thus far, giving all the first team reps to second-year pro J.K. Dobbins. From what I have read, Dobbins is taking advantage, and looks much improved in the pass game as well.

Edwards is not there to catch passes, so if Dobbins can really excel in that department, he creates a valuable safety net for Jackson in the rare instances he can’t juke oncoming defenders and take it himself.

We still need to see how the reps are split once Edwards is back in the mix, but I still think Dobbins is one of the bast RB values in redraft and dynasty, and is still available in the third round. For those looking to take a tier 1 QB anchor to your superflex or 2QB team, Dobbins provides potential top-five RB value that allows for drafting a QB early and not hurting at running back.

Jets: Wilson Development

Credit: New York Times

Name the last really good Jets QB. I’ll wait.

If all you can come up with is Joe Namath, you’re not alone. Therefore we have to view the excitement around Wilson in context: Jets fans and the New York media are desperate for a good story. Even so, reports on Wilson have been mixed, as is expected.

Wilson rarely if ever faced pressure at BYU. They simply didn’t play many good defenses. Given that sacks aren’t allowed in training camp, we probably won’t get a read on Wilson’s ability to face a significant pass rush until week 2 in the preseason.

Rams: Stafford’s Impact on Offense

Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Stafford has been corking off some deep balls to Rams receivers in practice, and McVay is smart enough to not show too much of his changed offensive style with Stafford under center in preseason. But mark my words, Rams receivers will benefit and increase in value this season.

Jaguars Running Back Battle: Robinson Not Going Away

Credit: NFL.com

Local writers are noticing an improved, speedier James Robinson:

I haven’t written much about James Robinson throughout camp but he looks primed for another big season. Robinson consistently wins his reps. During teamwork, Robinson appears to be faster than he was a year ago. That’s a good sign for the Jaguars running game.

Jamal St. Cyr

If there’s one thing we know about Urban Meyer, other than we never really know much about Urban Meyer, it’s that he likes to run the ball. I currently have Etienne ranked higher in PPR leagues simply because I can’t see him catching fewer than 70 balls this year as he is moved all over the field. But I do expect Robinson to retain the bulk of the rushing work, and be a good but not spectacular back this season. RB3 with some RB2 upside in non-ppr leagues.

Broncos QB Battle: Drying Paint Draws Bigger Crowds

No change here, neither QB is showing much. Neither one will start in 2022 and both will start in 2021. Avoid.

Exit mobile version